Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.478975 0.547585 0.621608 0.707291 0.803618 0.908442 1.031027
2025-05-11 0.371266 0.463923 0.572007 0.706911 0.870254 1.061077 1.300299
2025-05-18 0.293105 0.398015 0.529581 0.705518 0.933291 1.216729 1.594459
2025-05-25 0.236706 0.347594 0.496378 0.708401 1.000133 1.384372 1.925060
2025-06-01 0.195565 0.309089 0.471315 0.716443 1.072972 1.567202 2.297249
2025-06-08 0.160096 0.271492 0.440498 0.710340 1.123606 1.724125 2.651367
2025-06-15 0.137474 0.248813 0.427280 0.726863 1.207497 1.935877 3.105518
2025-06-22 0.114442 0.220827 0.400757 0.717797 1.249604 2.088375 3.486062
2025-06-29 0.099148 0.203063 0.387754 0.727955 1.322167 2.293700 3.967139
2025-07-06 0.082656 0.179774 0.361185 0.710420 1.345218 2.420307 4.332737
2025-07-13 0.074572 0.171061 0.359360 0.736091 1.444935 2.682362 4.945089
2025-07-20 0.067885 0.163848 0.359063 0.764078 1.551191 2.964554 5.615813
2025-07-27 0.059805 0.152257 0.348662 0.771768 1.621855 3.192959 6.217677
2025-08-03 0.052184 0.140146 0.335245 0.771451 1.676939 3.398176 6.796548
2025-08-10 0.045599 0.129085 0.322243 0.770004 1.729263 3.602659 7.391712
2025-08-17 0.040283 0.120008 0.312129 0.773165 1.790943 3.830085 8.049079
2025-08-24 0.036034 0.112769 0.305041 0.781902 1.864940 4.087710 8.785616
2025-08-31 0.031501 0.103730 0.292112 0.775308 1.904819 4.279997 9.408659
2025-09-07 0.028788 0.099250 0.289742 0.793214 2.000546 4.594346 10.301367
2025-09-14 0.025158 0.091185 0.276779 0.783403 2.031990 4.776442 10.936832
2025-09-21 0.022835 0.086626 0.272379 0.794409 2.112894 5.070684 11.828940
2025-09-28 0.019709 0.078674 0.257234 0.775421 2.119890 5.203915 12.388209
2025-10-05 0.018501 0.076944 0.259558 0.803225 2.244171 5.608076 13.564364